Lauren Boebert Wins Election After Switching Districts, NBC News Projects

Representative Lauren Boebert has successfully secured another term in Congress after a high-stakes campaign that saw the controversial Colorado congresswoman switch districts to boost her chances.
Boebert won her election with 53 percent of the vote, according to a NBC News. 82 percent of the vote had been counted at the time the race was called.
The result indicates that Boebert’s brand of hardline conservatism continues to resonate with her Colrado voter base. Her new district, stretching from Fort Collins to the eastern plains, is largely populated by a reliable base of conservative voters aligned with her pro-gun, pro-Trump platform.
She also enjoyed the endorsement of Donald Trump, which some political analysts said should not be underestimated.
Bobert almost lost her 2022 reelection bid and faced fierce opposition in her former district, with celebrities such as Star Wars actor Mark Hamill backing her opponent, Trisha Calvarese.
Ahead of the primary election, Boebert switched from the 3rd congressional district to the 4th, which had an open seat following Representative Ken Buck’s retirement and is considered a safer Republican district.
No public polling was conducted ahead of the election for Boebert’s race, but The Economist gave her almost certain odds of winning.
The outlet’s prediction model based on 10,000 simulations of the election, national polling, voting history and fundraising in October found Boebert had a 23 percent margin.
Boebert ran a campaign that doubled down on her signature issues: gun rights, border security, and energy independence.
As a staunch advocate for the Second Amendment, she warned voters that their gun rights were under threat from Democrats. Boebert also criticized the Biden administration’s regulations on oil and gas.
Trump endorsed Boebert early on, solidifying her position as a champion of the MAGA wing of the Republican Party. Trump’s backing, combined with her alignment with high-profile conservative voices, helped her secure significant grassroots support and financial backing.
“President Trump’s endorsement can’t be underestimated,” Democratic CBS Colorado Democratic political analyst Mike Dino said. “That was very helpful to her early on because, you know, it was a big risk for her to leave her comfortable—or at least seemingly comfortable—3rd Congressional District and move over across the Continental Divide.”
Calvarese, Boebert’s Democratic challenger, had a last-minute fundraising boost in the month before the election.
She raised an additional $560,000, according to an October 16 filing, bringing her fundraising total to $3.74 million. She and Boebert and similar amounts of cash on hand, according to the October 16 filing, but Calvarese’s fundraising was still less than Boebert’s, who raised $4.48 million.
Buck held the seat that Boebert is taking over for nine years and won reelection in 2022 with 61 percent of the vote. A Democrat hasn’t won the seat since 2008, and Boebert’s election victory on Tuesday night was a stark contrast from her performance in 2022.
In 2022, she scraped home by just 546 votes in one of the closest election races in the country.
Boebert said she switched districts to give her family a “fresh start.” In 2023 she filed for divorce from her husband, Jayson Boebert.
Months after filing, Boebert was asked to leave a performance of the musical Beetlejuice for disruptive behavior that included “vaping, singing and causing a disturbance.” She posted on X, formerly Twitter, that she was guilty of enjoying the show and laughing.
Video footage from the theater showed Boebert and her date, Denver bar owner Quinn Gallagher, fondling each other, something Boebert initially denied doing.
“There’s no perfect blueprint for going through a public and difficult divorce, which over the past few months has made for a challenging personal time for me and my entire family. I’ve tried to handle it with strength and grace as best I can, but I simply fell short of my values on Sunday,” Boebert said at that time.
Boebert is expected to continue her vocal opposition to the Biden administration and to push her agenda focused on limiting government regulation, protecting gun rights, and advocating for energy independence.
Her election bolsters her position as a key player in the House Freedom Caucus and a leading voice for the populist right in the Republican Party.